9/5/08 Fact: Gas Costs $1-$15/gallon Over Price at Pump

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By Peter Forman
Published: September 5, 2008
New York—
Americans have complained this summer about paying $3-$4 for a gallon of gas, but that's just a fraction of oil's real price tag.  Our oil has significant hidden costs.  Depending on what is included, the actual price  is anywhere from $1 to $15/gallon above the cost at the pump.

This is a combination of:

-The taxpayer-funded cost of military expenditures and foreign aid (that would be spent differently if we were not protecting our long-term supplies of oil)
-Tax subsidies to oil companies
-Drag on the economy from losses in: domestic jobs, economic activity, tax revenue, and reinvestment (since energy investment goes overseas)
-And the hard-to-quantify environmental costs

 

Experts of all different stripes estimate these hidden subsidies or costs to be, as broken down on the accompanying chart:

· $1.05 Military/Foreign expenditures: Patrol Middle East oil shipping lanes, specific foreign aid, some war costs, etc....

· $4.26 Economic: From the importation of 4.5 billion barrels of oil per annum, loss of domestic jobs, diminished economic activity, lost tax revenues, weakened currency, and loss of reinvestment.

· $1.02 Taxes/Subsidies: Provided directly to oil producers.

· $8.13 Environmental: Hard to quantify costs of pollution, etc...

      ----------------

· $14.46 total hidden costs

· $  4.50 cost of gasoline

      ----------------

$18.96 Actual cost of gasoline per gallon.

What is the real hidden cost?

Many would argue that the environmental costs are hard to quantify and often disputed. Even though some are real, let's discount those for this analysis.

It is indisputable that there are military, economic, and tax costs which

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total about $6.33 per gallon.

Even if one were to argue away some of the economic drag caused by oil imports and its impact on the trade deficit, the currency, and jobs, one still ends up with a range of between $2.07 and $6.33/gallon over the price at the pump.

 

So why should we really care?

For a few reasons:

1) We are fooling ourselves when we ignore these costs.  They cost the taxpayers regardless if they are from the front pocket or back pocket.

2) More importantly, it creates a distortion to the free market.  The tax credits and military expenditures alone make oil less expensive than it would otherwise be.

3) And most importantly, it creates a competitive disadvantage for alternatives to oil and perpetuates the dependency that is the cause of the hidden costs. 

 
Either the subsidies must be ended, which is unrealistic in the short-run, or the government must enact a business, legislative, and tax landscape that will allow businesses to invest in and sell alternatives to oil on a level playing field.

 

Both of the Presidential candidates have proposed tax credits or abatements, in one form or another, to offset the spike in oil and gasoline prices.  While commendable for the intent, this would only serve to drive demand and perpetuate the cycle of demand, dependence, and hidden costs.

 
Alternatively, although we propose this somewhat theoretically, if alternatives to oil were "subsidized" to this same extent, there would be a rapid shift from these fossil fuels to their replacements.  One could argue that this is a better investment for the long-run.
 
We argue that the real "free-market" approach is to level the playing field for a period of time and then withdraw the subsidies equally.

We must introduce competition at the fuel pumps with a Flex-Fuel program (Open Fuel Standard Act of 2008).  And we must incent the production and purchase of low/no emission (electric) vehicles.

 
Only through a short-term investment for a future competitive energy marketplace can we
move beyond oil.

 

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